The retirement of Robin Martin-Jenkins appears to leave a big hole to fill with the ball for Sussex. Also, he didn't fair all that bad with the bat in what proved to be his final stint - making 629 championship runs from ten completed innings. But in Murray Goodwin, Sussex posses a man who has and still can hurt Surrey, especially on a ground with such short boundaries square on the wicket.

So far, the Zimbabwean has gone past three figures on three occasions in this summer's County Championship. But, other than Martin-Jenkins, no one else has made more than one ton for the Martlets. So, if Sussex elect to rest Luke Wright, who is averaging 40.33, the visitors might, on paper at least, start a little light in the batting department.

With the ball, Corey Collymore has been in inspired form this season, taking 44 championship wickets at 18.15 runs apiece. Second in the list of Sussex wicket-takers is Monty Panesar, who appears to have benefited from his move, last winter, from Northamptonshire to the south coast. If he plays, watch out for 20-year-old left-arm seamer Lewis Hatchett, who took 5-47 against Leicestershire in the innings victory at Grace Road. 

Rory Hamilton-Brown has 992 first-class career runs, while Matthew Spriegel has 980 f-c runs for Surrey. Jason Roy is set to make his championship debut, while Chris Tremlett is on the verge of his 100th f-c appearance. For Sussex, Murray Goodwin goes into this contest with 895 championship runs this season.

With Usman Afzaal's name missing from the announced squad, there will be at least one change to the side that lost to Middlesex by an innings at Lord's; which could mean that Jason Roy is set to make his championship debut. Stuart Meaker is fit again, following a slight side strain, but Michael Brown (left elbow), Chris Jordan (back) and Andre Nel (hamstring) are all thought unlikely to feature again this summer.

The weather forecast for Tuesday combined with reputation Guildford has acquired of being a bowlers' graveyard is screaming "draw" - and that's what I am going with. Murray Goodwin will be the key man over the next four days. With a first-class record of 1,111 runs at an average of 58.47, including four hundreds against Surrey, Goodwin needs to be nipped out early on if the hosts are going to force a surprise victory.

M Yardy (capt), C Nash, E Joyce, M Goodwin, L Wright, L Hatchett, A Hodd (wk), Yasir Arafat, C Liddle, M Panesar and C Collymore.

Steve Garratt and John Steele.

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